Ucdp/prio armed conflict database
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The effects of climate change on resource conflicts are often indirect, complex, and linked to political, economic, and social conflict factors, including social inequalities, low economic development, and ineffective institutions.
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While a number of statistical studies find no significant link between reduced precipitation and violent conflict in Africa, several studies do detect such a link, mostly in interaction with other issues. Through these channels, climate change may contribute to humanitarian crises and conflict, subject to local conditions for the different regions of Africa. These include variability in temperature and precipitation weather extremes and natural disasters, such as floods and droughts resource problems through water scarcity, land degradation, and food insecurity forced migration and farmer–herder conflict and infrastructure for transport, water, and energy supply. Together with other drivers, climate change can undermine human security and livelihoods of vulnerable communities in Africa through different pathways. The linkages have been most extensively studied for the African continent, which is affected by both climate change and violent conflict. Concluding Reflections on the Climate–Conflict Nexus in AfricaĬlimate change was conceived as a “risk multiplier” that could exacerbate security risks and conflicts in fragile regions and hotspots where poverty, violence, injustice, and social insecurity are prevalent.Linkages Between Climate Change and Conflict.Climate Change Vulnerability and Human Security.Variability and Change in Temperature and Precipitation.Factors of Security Risks and Conflict Potentials in Africa.Africa’s Vulnerability to Climate Change.Climate Change Vulnerability, Human Security, and Violent Conflict in Africa.Global Perspectives on the Climate–Conflict Nexus.
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